中国旅游业周期波动分析

周期性波动是存在于任何经济中的一种常态，并体现于经济扩张与收缩、波峰与波谷不断交替的固有运动。旅游业作为一个经济产业，在其发展历程中同样存在着周期波动。本文以分析世界旅游业周期增长为基础，重点研究了中国旅游业周期波动，并通过对比分析，对中国旅游业周期现象与世界旅游业周期现象的关系进行了初步探析。文章预测，中国旅游业已经进入了以微波化为主要特征的第5周期。

An Analysis of the Economic Cycle in China's Tourism Industry

Economic Cycle is a normal phenomenon existing in any economy, which alternates between economic expansion and depression. And tourism industry, as an economic industry, also has its economic cycle during its process of deve lopment. This thesis focuses on economic cycle of China's tourism industry based on the cyclic growth of world tourism industry. The author finally forecasts that China's tourism industry is entering its fifth cycle.