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Commercial property prices and bank performance
Authors:E. Philip Davis  Haibin Zhu
Affiliation:1. Brunel University, Uxbridge, Middlesex, UB8 3PH, UK;2. Bank for International Settlements, Representative office for Asia and the Pacific, 8 Finance Street, Hong Kong
Abstract:We seek to assess the relationship between commercial property price movements and the behavior and performance of individual banks in a range of industrialized economies, extending the existing micro literature on bank performance. Our results suggest that commercial property prices tend to be positively associated with bank lending and profitability, and negatively associated with banks’ net interest margin and bad loan ratios. Further extensions show that the degree to which such a relationship holds is related to the size of the bank. The results underline the relevance of commercial property prices as a macroprudential variable that warrants scrutiny by the authorities.
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