煤炭峰值预测与对策研究

介绍了"中国煤炭峰值预测"课题组采用部门耗煤法预测的我国煤炭消费峰值的核心内容及结论。研究认为,我国煤炭消费将在2020年达到峰值,煤炭峰值水平为47.6亿t。届时,煤炭消费结构为电力、钢铁、建材、化工4大行业及其他用煤占比分别为54.74%、12.44%、11.56%、15.45%、5.8%。最后提出政府及企业应对煤炭峰值到来的相关建议。

Study on Prediction and Countermeasures of Coal Peak Value

The paper introduced the core contents and conclusion of the China coal consumption peak value predicted with the sector coal consumption method applied by the program group of ＂Prediction of China Coal Peak Value＂. The study held that China coal consumption would reach a coal peak value in the year of 2020 and the peak level would be 4.76 billion t of coal. At that time, the coal consumption structure of the electric power, iron and steel, building material and others would be 54.74 %, 12.44 %, 11.56 %, 15.45 % and 5.8% individually. Finally related proposals to the coal peak value coming were provided by the Government and enterprises.