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煤化工产业发展趋势及其对煤炭消费的影响
引用本文:张方. 煤化工产业发展趋势及其对煤炭消费的影响[J]. 煤炭经济研究, 2014, 0(4): 14-23
作者姓名:张方
作者单位:石油和化学工业规划院,北京100013
摘    要:概要分析了煤化工的总体发展趋势,系统分析了煤化工两个重点发展领域即煤制化工材料和新型煤基化学燃料。以产业链分析的方法系统梳理了煤制化工材料产业的3个分支即煤制塑料、煤制化纤、煤制橡胶,比较分析了各类煤基液体化学燃料和煤基气体化学燃料的发展潜力,提出了煤基化学燃料的发展重点和需要解决的主要问题。分析计算了2012年煤化工的煤炭消费量和消费结构,不仅计算了煤化工的煤炭消费总量,更根据不同煤化工产品及其不同生产工艺,计算了分煤种的煤炭消费量。根据2020年煤化工产品发展预测及其生产工艺变化预测,计算了2020年煤化工的煤炭消费总量和分煤种的煤炭消费量。

关 键 词:煤化工  发展趋势  消费总量  预测

Coal Chemical Industry Development Tendency and Influences to the Coal Consumption
ZHANG Fang. Coal Chemical Industry Development Tendency and Influences to the Coal Consumption[J]. Coal Economic Research, 2014, 0(4): 14-23
Authors:ZHANG Fang
Affiliation:ZHANG Fang (China National Petroleum and Chemical Planning Institute, Beifing 100013, China)
Abstract:The paper analyzed the general development tendency of the coal chemical industry and systematically analyzed the two key development areas of the coal chemical industry, including the coal based chemical material and new coal based chemical fuel. An industrial chain analysis method was applied to analyze the three branches of coal based plastic, coal based fiber and coal based rubber in the coal based chemical material industry. The paper well analyzed the development potential of each coal based liquid chemical fuel and the coal based gas chemical fuel and provided the development key points of the coal based chemical fuel and the main problems to be solved. The paper analyzed and calculated the coal consumption and the consumption structure of the coal chemical industry in the year of 2012. The paper not only calculated the total coal consumption of the coal chemical industry, but according to the different coal chemical products and different production technique, calculated the coal consumption of each coal type. According to the prediction on the coal chemical product development in the year of 2020 and prediction on the production technique variation, the total coal consumption of coal chemical industry on the year of 2020 and the coal consumption of each coal type were calculated.
Keywords:coal chemical industry  development tendency  total coal consumption  prediction
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