School Finance Reform and Private School Enrollment: Evidence from California

Abstract: This paper uses the school finance reforms in California in the 1970s to examine whether the constraints such reforms impose on school districts lead to switching to private schools. Misspecifications of demand in previous work have led to understatement of reform effects. An empirical model of schooling share equations is derived from a discrete choice framework. Large biases are shown to result from failure to account for heterogeneity of demanders and school-district-specific fixed effects. Simulations indicate that the changes in public provision potentially resulting from reform explain a sizeable portion of the growth in the private school share.