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Bounds for Ratios of Posterior Expectations: Applications in the Collective Risk Model
Authors:E Gómez-Déniz  A Hernández-Bastida  FJ Vázquez-Polo
Abstract:

This paper considers the collective risk model for the insurance claims process. We will adopt a Bayesian point of view, where uncertainty concerning the specification of the prior distribution is a common question. The robust Bayesian approach uses a class of prior distributions which model uncertainty about the prior, instead of a single distribution. Relatively little research has dealt with robustness with respect to ratios of posterior expectations as occurs with the Esscher and Variance premium principles. Appropriate techniques are developed in this paper to solve this problem using the k -contamination class in the collective risk model.
Keywords:Collective Risk Model  Esscher And Variance Premium Principles  Bayesian Robustness  Epsilon-CONTAMINATED Classes Of Priors
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