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One Size Fits All? Monetary Policy and Asymmetric Household Debt Cycles in U.S. States
Authors:BRUNO ALBUQUERQUE
Abstract:I investigate the nonlinear effects of monetary policy through differences in household debt across U.S. states. After constructing a novel indicator of inflation for the states, I compute state‐specific monetary policy stances as deviations from an aggregate Taylor rule. I find that the effectiveness of monetary policy is curtailed during periods of large household debt imbalances. Moreover, a common U.S. monetary policy does not fit all; it may have asymmetric effects on the economic performance across states, particularly at times of high dispersion in the household debt imbalances, as it may have been the case around the Great Recession.
Keywords:C33  E32  E52  G21  monetary policy  household debt  regional asymmetries  local projections  Taylor rule
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