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基础设施投资结构与产业结构模型研究——以北京为例
引用本文:王军礼,徐德举.基础设施投资结构与产业结构模型研究——以北京为例[J].经济问题,2012(7):54-57.
作者姓名:王军礼  徐德举
作者单位:首都师范大学数学科学学院
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(70971001)
摘    要:通过对北京市基础设施投资结构与产业结构的统计测度,挖掘出两者的相互影响的深层联系,即产业结构变动对基础设施投资结构变动的影响大于基础设施投资结构变动对产业结构变动的影响,利用格兰杰因果关系检验得出产业结构变动是基础设施投资结构变动的单向格兰杰原因;初步给出两者相互作用的机制和途径,进而从各自结构内部的活跃因素的角度提出北京市基础设施投资结构与产业结构的协调发展的政策建议。

关 键 词:产业结构  基础设施投资结构  误差修正模型  产业测度

Research on Investment Structure of Municipal Infrastructure and Industrial Structure Model in Beijing
WANG Jun-li,XU De-ju.Research on Investment Structure of Municipal Infrastructure and Industrial Structure Model in Beijing[J].On Economic Problems,2012(7):54-57.
Authors:WANG Jun-li  XU De-ju
Institution:(School of Mathematical Science,Capital Normal University,Beijing 100037,China)
Abstract:This text explores the deep connection between the investment structure of municipal infrastructure and industrial structure through statistical measurement of the two,thus concluding that the change of industrial structure has a bigger influence on the investment structure of municipal infrastructure than the latter has on the former.Through Granger Causality,the paper finds that change of industrial structure is the one-way reason that leads to change of investment structure of municipal infrastructure,besides,the mechanism of and approach to the interaction of the two are roughly given in this text;what’s more,considering the inner structure of both,the text gives advice on coordination development.
Keywords:industrial structure  investment structure of municipal infrastructure  vector error correction model  industrial measure
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