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随机模拟在水源论证中的应用
引用本文:陈翠英,娄山崇,王军,周垂志.随机模拟在水源论证中的应用[J].水资源与水工程学报,2006,17(4):18-21.
作者姓名:陈翠英  娄山崇  王军  周垂志
作者单位:山东省水文水资源勘测局,山东,济南,250014
摘    要:对用水文比拟法求得的盘石、里店两水库的天然年径流量序列进行了随机过程分析,根据天然年径流量序列的相关结构特性,建立相应的随机水文序列模型,生成模拟序列,并对其作长系列可供水量调节计算,以与样本序列的成果作比较,来检验盘石、里店两水库设计枯水年时向核电厂供水的可靠性。

关 键 词:随机模拟  径流量  可供水量  盘石水库  里店水库
文章编号:1672-643X(2006)04-0018-04
修稿时间:2006年1月5日

Application of stochastic simulation into testification of water resources
CHEN Cui-ying,LOU Shan-chong,WANG Jun,ZHOU Chui-zhi.Application of stochastic simulation into testification of water resources[J].Journal of water resources and water engineering,2006,17(4):18-21.
Authors:CHEN Cui-ying  LOU Shan-chong  WANG Jun  ZHOU Chui-zhi
Abstract:After analyzing the stochastic characteristics of the natural runoff series of Panshi and Lidian Reservoir derived from the hydrological simulation method,the stochastic hydroligical time series model was established.The simulating series produced from the model are used for available water supply calculations.Then the results are compared with the result from sample series to testify the reliability of water supply from Panshi and Lidian Reservoir to the nuclear power plant in design dry year.
Keywords:stochastic simulation  runoff  available water supply  Panshi reservoir  Lidian reservoir
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