石油消费与经济增长关系的分析

随着中国经济的迅速崛起,石油消费量不断增加。本文分析了石油消费与经济增长之间的关系,选取1980～2007年的数据并运用协整理论和Granger因果关系检验理论,对中国石油消费与经济增长之间的关系进行了实证分析。结论表明:1953～2004年,中国石油消费量与经济增长之间存在协整关系,石油消费量的增加是经济增长的原因;1978～2004年,中国石油消费量与经济增长之间同样存在协整关系,经济增长与石油消费量之间具有显著的单向因果关系。

Analysis of petroleum consuming and economy growth relation

With China＇s rapid economic rise of oil co nsumption is increasing. This paper analyzes the economic growth of oil consumption and the relationship between the years of 1980 -2007 data to select and apply cointegration theory and Granger causality test theory, China＇s oil consumption and economic growth of the relationship between the empirical analysis. Concluded that ：1953-2004, China＇s oil consumption and economic growth between the cointegration relationship, the increase in oil consumption in the causes of economic growth; 1978 - 2004, China＇s oil consumption and economic growth also exists between the Association The whole relationship between economic growth and oil consumption significantly between the one-way causal relationship.