首页 | 本学科首页   官方微博 | 高级检索  
     检索      


Trade flow lags, monetary and fiscal policy, and exchange-rate overshooting
Authors:Jay H Levin
Institution:1. Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge, Austin Robinson Building, Sidgwick Avenue, Cambridge CB3 0EE, United Kingdom;2. School of Economics, Nanjing University, 22 Hankou Road, Nanjing, Jiangsu 210093, China;3. CRPE and School of Economics, Zhejiang University, 38 Zheda Road, Hangzhou, Zhejiang 310028, China
Abstract:In this paper model a is constructed that combines trade slow lags with the model in the appendix to Dornbusch's seminal paper on exchange-rate dynamics. Here output is free to vary and inflation is determined by a simple Phillips curve mechanism. It turns out that, because of the trade slow lags, monetary expansion causes interest rates to decline, but the exchange rate need not oveshoot, as one would expect; whereas fiscal policy always produces overshooting. It follows that monetary policy may be a less important source of exchange-rate variability than is commonly believed, and fiscal policy more important.
Keywords:
本文献已被 ScienceDirect 等数据库收录!
设为首页 | 免责声明 | 关于勤云 | 加入收藏

Copyright©北京勤云科技发展有限公司  京ICP备09084417号