Revisiting "The Fallacy of Free Trade"

The paper examines results presented by Batra in an article entitled "The Fallacy of Free Trade" ( Review of International Economics 1(1) (1992): 19–31). Batra contends that technical change in Japanese manufacturing necessarily reduces US real wages in the confines of a two-good, two-country Ricardo-Viner model. A parsimonious empirical Ricardo-Viner model is constructed to analyze the same issue. It is found that the impact on US real wages is very small. Systematic sensitivity analysis shows that increases in the ral wage are as likely as decreases. It is concluded that Batra's assertions are empirically unlikely.