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Real exchange rate and exchange rate policy in Hungary
Authors:László Halpern
Institution:Institute of Economics Hungarian Academy of Sciences Pob 262 1502 Budapest Hungary TEL:361 1853770
Abstract:Five real exchange rate indicators are computed to assess the international competitiveness of Hungarian industry. These indicators are explained in econometric equations by employment, unemployment, productivity, interest spread and real producer wage. Causality tests reveal that external performance has an impact on real exchange rates, and contributes to explaining real exchange rates. There is very limited scope for policy intervention to constrain the negative effects of capital inflows without incurring other costs.
Keywords:real exchange rate  exchange rate policy  Hungary
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