基于多元联系数集对分析模型的城市突发事件应急能力评价

针对城市突发事件应急能力评价问题，基于应急管理全过程理念，按照事前预防、事中处置和事后恢复3个方面建立城市突发事件应急能力评价指标体系。引入集对分析的五元联系数构建同异反评价模型对城市应急能力现状进行分析，通过五元联系数的偏联系数对潜在发展趋势进行预测，实现静态与动态分析的有效结合，为城市针对薄弱环节提升能力指明了方向。将模型应用于某城市进行实证分析，评价结果与实际情况进行比较，验证了该模型在城市突发事件应急能力评价中的可行性，可为其他城市突发事件应急能力评价提供参考。

Evaluation of Urban Emergency Response Capability Based on Multivariate Connection Number Set Pair Analysis Model

In view of the problems in the evaluation of urban emergency response capability, based on the whole process concept of emergency management, the evaluation index system of urban emergency response capability is established in accordance with the three aspects of pre prevention, in-process disposal and post recovery.Five-element connection number based on set pair analysis is introduced to construct the similarities and differences evaluation model to analyze the current situation of urban emergency response capability, and the potential development trend is predicted through the partial connection coefficient of the five-element connection number.The effective combination of static and dynamic analysis is realized, and it is pointed out the direction for improving the city''s ability to address weak links. The model is applied to a city for empirical analysis, and the evaluation results are compared with the actual situation to verify the feasibility of the model in the evaluation of urban emergency response capacity, which can provide reference for the evaluation of other cities'' emergency response capacity.