中国服务业发展影响因素实证分析

世界经济,特别是发达国家经济发展轨迹显示,"服务经济"已成为经济发展趋势,从而使得各国都致力于研究服务业发展的影响因素,以促进服务业发展和经济结构升级,中国亦不能无动于衷.本文通过对2004年省市截面数据计量回归得出:经济发展水平和分工程度是影响中国服务业发展的重要因素,而带有强烈行政色彩的城市化对"服务经济"发展的作用较小;服务业发展具有经济发展水平的门槛效应;不同分行业,影响因素亦有所差异.

Analysis on Influencing Factors of the Development of Chinese Service Industry

The development of world economy,especially that of the developed countries shows that service economy has been becoming the trend of economy development,so each country studies the influencing factors of development of service industry.Thus,the author analyses the influencing factors of development of general and sub-sector service industry by regression analysis on the cross-sectional data,and finds that economy growth and level of division are the most important factors;the urbanization has a little effect on its growth;the influencing factors are different to different sub-sectors.