Premarital Birth Among Young Hispanic Women: Evidence from Semiparametric Competing Risks Analysis |
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| Authors: | José Canals-Cerdá Shiferaw Gurmu |
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| Institution: | (1) Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, 10 Independence Mall, Philadelphia, PA 19106, USA;(2) Department of Economics, Andrew Young School of Policy Studies, Georgia State University, P.O. Box 3992, Atlanta, GA 30302, USA |
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| Abstract: | The existing literature on welfare effects on marriage and fertility has largely focused on groups of white and black women.
By contrast, Hispanic women have received little attention. This paper examines the effects of welfare generosity on a sample
of young Hispanic women’s premarital fertility and marriage choices. A bivariate competing risks duration model framework
allows us to identify the process of young women’s premarital fertility and the process of marriage, effectively controlling
for observed characteristics and unobservables. Our findings indicate a 10% increase in welfare generosity results in a 10%
increase in premarital births and a 7% decrease in marriages by age 24; both effects are significant.
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| Keywords: | Welfare generosity Premarital fertility First marriage Unobserved heterogeneity |
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