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交通基础设施与中国区域经济一体化
引用本文:刘生龙,胡鞍钢. 交通基础设施与中国区域经济一体化[J]. 经济研究, 2011, 0(3)
作者姓名:刘生龙  胡鞍钢
作者单位:中国社会科学院数量经济技术经济研究所;清华大学公共管理学院国情研究中心;
基金项目:第3批博士后特别资助项目“基础设施与西部开发”; 交通部重大软课题项目“交通运输外部性测算理论与方法研究”; “中国社会科学院经济政策与模拟重点研究室资助”项目的资助
摘    要:利用2008年中国交通部省际货物运输周转量的普查数据,本文在引力方程的基础之上引入交通变量,以此来验证交通基础设施对中国区域经济一体化的影响。实证结果表明:(1)2008年中国省际贸易的边界效应处于6—21之间,这一数值与发达国家之间贸易的边界效应值比较接近;(2)交通基础设施的改善对中国的区域贸易产生了显著的正向影响;(3)交通基础设施越发达,则边界效应越低,说明交通基础设施促进中国区域贸易量的增加主要是促进了省际之间的贸易增加。所有这些均表明交通基础设施的改善对区域经济一体化的促进作用。

关 键 词:交通基础设施  区域一体化  引力模型  边界效应  工具变量

Transportation Infrastructure and Regional Economic Integration In China
Liu Shenglonga , Hu Angangb. Transportation Infrastructure and Regional Economic Integration In China[J]. Economic Research Journal, 2011, 0(3)
Authors:Liu Shenglonga    Hu Angangb
Affiliation:Liu Shenglonga and Hu Angangb (a: Institute of Quantitative Economics and Technical Economics,CASS,b: Tsinghua University)
Abstract:Using the census data of inter-provincial transport freight turn-over collected by Chinese Transport Ministry in 2008,this paper introduces transport variable based on gravity equation and uses the equation to test on the impact on regional economic integration of transport infrastructure. The empirical results indicate: (1) The border effect of China’s inter-provincial trade in 2008 is between 6—21,which is similar to that of the trade between developed countries; (2)The improvement of transport infrastructure has generated positive impact on China ’s regional trade; ( 3 ) As transport infrastructure becomes more developed,the border effect of trade is decreased,which means that transport infrastructure contribute to promote regional trade mainly through inter-provincial trade. All of that indicates the positive impacts on regional integration of the improvement of transport infrastructure.
Keywords:Transport Infrastructure  Regional Integration  Gravity Model  Border Effect  Instrumental Invariable  
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