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RST–GCBR‐CLUSTERING‐BASED RGA–SVM MODEL FOR CORPORATE FAILURE PREDICTION
Authors:Fedya Telmoudi  Mohamed El Ghourabi  Mohamed Limam
Institution:Larodec, ISG, University of Tunis, , Bardo, Tunisia
Abstract:Corporate bankruptcy is perceived as a shocking event. Several researchers focused on the prediction of these phenomena using various methods aiming to avoid high generated costs. In this paper, a new hybrid approach is proposed to deal with corporate failure prediction. Based on financial ratios as input data and in order to predict if the business unit will fail or not, our approach integrates rough set theory, Gaussian case‐based reasoning‐clustering, real‐valued genetic algorithm with support vector machines. This combination is justified by a high accuracy rate, reaching 100% at 1 year before failure and 94.0925% at 3 years before failure. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
Keywords:rough set theory  Gaussian case‐based reasoning‐clustering  real‐valued genetic algorithm  support vector machine  bankruptcy prediction
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