基于系统动力学的广西区域物流与经济协调发展研究

为了探讨广西区域物流与广西社会经济协调发展情况,找出制约广西物流产业的主要问题,运用系统动力学的反馈分析方法,归纳总结了研究的基本要素,建立了广西区域物流与经济协调发展的系统动力学模型,结合1990～2009年相关数据协整分析结果,应用Vensim PLE软件进行了模拟仿真,并对不同的政策进行实验,结果表明,刺激需求、合理投资以及大力培育人才等政策配合实施,能够有效地推动广西物流业和社会经济的协调发展。

System Dynamics Research on Coordination of Guangxi Regional Logistics and Economy

In order to study the coordination degree between Guangxi regional logistics and logistics economy, find out the restrictive factors of Guangxi logistics, main elements of research are screened out and system dynamics model about the coordination of Guangxi regional logistics and economy based on feedback analysis is builded. Afterwards, the paper uses relative data of 1990 to 2009 through co-integration test and Vensim PLE software to make simulation. According to the test results, implementing policy of stimulating demand, reasonable investment and training talents can promote logistics and economic development.