| 灰色预测模型的改进在城市需水量预测中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 高素芳,刘凤莲,马玉香.灰色预测模型的改进在城市需水量预测中的应用[J].价值工程,2010,29(22):95-96. |
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| 作者姓名： | 高素芳 刘凤莲 马玉香 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 石河子大学师范学院,石河子,832003
2. 乌鲁木齐职业大学旅游学院,乌鲁木齐,830001 |
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| 基金项目： | 高层次人才科研启动项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 阐述灰色预测模型计算步骤及其改进方法,将改进灰色预测方法应用到石河子市城市需水预测的实例研究中,通过对预测结果的分析,发现改进模型的模拟精度更高,预测结果可为石河子市用水规划和宏观调控提供参考。
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| 关 键 词： | 灰色预测 模型 城市需水量 |
Application of Grey Prediction and Its Improvement on the Urban Water Demand Forecasting |
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| Gao Sufang,Liu Fenglian,Ma Yuxiang.Application of Grey Prediction and Its Improvement on the Urban Water Demand Forecasting[J].Value Engineering,2010,29(22):95-96. |
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| Authors: | Gao Sufang Liu Fenglian Ma Yuxiang |
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| Institution: | Gao Sufang Liu Fenglian Ma Yuxiang(①Teachers College,Shihezi University,Shihezi 832003,China;②School of Tourism Urumqi Vocational University,Urumqi 830001,China) |
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| Abstract: | Computation procedure and its improved method of grey prediction were elaborated in the paper.The grey prediction was applied in the prediction of the water requirement of Shihezi City in near future years.It is showed that improved Grey Prediction had higher accuracy.The forecasted urban water demand of Shihezi could provide a reference for the city＇s water use planning and macro-economic regulating. |
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| Keywords: | grey prediction model urban water demand |
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