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中国养老金隐性债务的模型分析与偿还对策研究
引用本文:边恕,胡家诗,张丽华. 中国养老金隐性债务的模型分析与偿还对策研究[J]. 当代经济管理, 2010, 32(9)
作者姓名:边恕  胡家诗  张丽华
作者单位:1. 辽宁大学,人口研究所,辽宁沈阳,110036
2. 华中科技大学,社会学系,湖北,武汉430074
基金项目:国家自然科学基金《基于收支动态平衡的社会保障最优缴费率研究》,教育部人文社科基金《基于动态缴费率的社会保险制度改革与完善研究》,辽宁省科技厅博士启动基金《辽宁省社会保障最优缴费率与收支动态平衡研究》(20081029)的部分研究成果 
摘    要:能否解决养老金隐性债务是养老保险制度改革成功的关键性问题.基于养老金隐性债务的含义时养老金隐性债务的理论模型进行了修正与深化,对中国2005年~2050年养老金隐性债务的规模和变动趋势进行了预测与分析,并提出解决弥补隐性债务的综合性方案.

关 键 词:养老金隐性债务  总体规模  解决方案

Model Analysis of China's Pension Implicit Debts and Study on Their Repayment
Bian Shu,Hu Jiashi,Zhang Lihua. Model Analysis of China's Pension Implicit Debts and Study on Their Repayment[J]. Contemporary Economic Management, 2010, 32(9)
Authors:Bian Shu  Hu Jiashi  Zhang Lihua
Affiliation:Bian Shu1,Hu Jiashi2,Zhang Lihua1(1.Institute of Population Research of Liaoning University,Shenyang,110036,China,2.Department of Sociology,Huazhong University of Science and Technology,Wuhan 430074,China)
Abstract:Whether the implicit debts of pension can be solved is a key issue deciding the success of pension insurance system reform.Based on the meaning of the implicit debts of pension,this paper modifies and improves the theory model of the implicit debts of pension,analyzes and forecasts the volume and trend of the implicit debts of pension in China between 2005 and 2050,followed by the comprehensive solution to it.
Keywords:implicit debts of pension  total size  solution  
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