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土地价格与经济增长关系的实证分析——以东部地区为例
引用本文:柴志春,赵松,李众敏,吴凌燕. 土地价格与经济增长关系的实证分析——以东部地区为例[J]. 中国土地科学, 2009, 23(1): 9-13
作者姓名:柴志春  赵松  李众敏  吴凌燕
作者单位:1. 中国土地勘测规划院,北京,100035
2. 中国社会科学院世界经济与政治研究所,北京,100732
3. 北京工业大学实验学院,北京,101101
摘    要:研究目的:根据国民收入核算理论,研究农村和城市居民消费、投资、政府支出以及净出口5个方面受土地价格波动的影响程度,解析土地价格与宏观经济间的关系,在东部地区进行实证研究。研究方法:计量经济法和模型分析法。研究结果:东部土地价格与消费、投资、政府支出和净出口之间存在显著的相关关系;东部土地价格每上升1个百分点,GDP将提高0.225个百分点。研究结论:东部土地价格上升对经济增长的贡献较大,土地成为经济增长的基本要素,政府应该高度重视土地价格在宏观经济调控中的基础性作用。

关 键 词:土地经济  土地价格  经济增长  东部地区
收稿时间:2008-09-02
修稿时间:2008-12-17

Empirical Analysis on Relationship between Land Price and Economic Growth: A Case of Eastern Region
CHAI Zhi-chun,ZHAO Song,LI Zhong-min,WU Ling-yan. Empirical Analysis on Relationship between Land Price and Economic Growth: A Case of Eastern Region[J]. China Land Sciences, 2009, 23(1): 9-13
Authors:CHAI Zhi-chun  ZHAO Song  LI Zhong-min  WU Ling-yan
Affiliation:1. China Land Surveying and Planning Institute, Beijing 100035, China; 2. Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Beijing 100732, China; 3. The Pilot College of Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 101101, China
Abstract:The purpose of the paper is to study the effects of land price on rural and urban residents' consumption, investment, governmental expenditure and net exports through national income calculation theory with a case study in eastern region of China. Methods employed include econometric analysis and model analysis. The results indicate that, land price of eastern region has significant correlation with consumption, investment, government expenditure and net export. GDP of eastern region will increase 0.225 percent when land price increases 1 percent. It is concluded that the land price increase of eastern region contributes greatly to economic growth, and land has become the basic factor of economic growth. The government should pay more attention to the basic function of land price during the macro-economic regulation and control.
Keywords:land economy  land price  economic growth  eastern region
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