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Seasonal Variation in Cost-of-Funds at Thrift Institutions
Authors:Frank E Nothaft  George H K Wang
Institution:Financial Research Department, Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation, McLean, Virginia 22102;Economic Analysis Division, Commodity Futures Trading Commission, Washington, D.C. 20581, and School of Business Administration, George Mason University, Fairfax, Virginia 22030
Abstract:The purpose of this note is threefold. First, in addition to the well-known seasonal pattern to the eleventh-district cost-of-funds (COF), we document a twelve-month seasonal in the national median COF. Second, we demonstrate that the cause of seasonality in each of these COF series is due to the maladjustment of length-of-month effects. In particular, the eleventh-district COF is biased upwards in relatively short months while the national median is biased downward. Third, we show that the popular partial adjustment model for modeling the COF is misspecified.
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