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The long-term effects of civil conflicts on education,earnings, and fertility: Evidence from Cambodia
Institution:1. School of Economics and Business, University of Sarajevo, Trg oslobo?enja, Sarajevo, Bosnia and Herzegovina;2. Staffordshire University Business School, Leek road, Stoke-on-Trent, UK;3. Staffordshire University Business School, Leek road, Stoke-on-Trent, UK;1. IRES, Université catholique de Louvain, Belgium & CEPR, London, UK;2. Department of Economic History & Center for Economic Demography, Lund University, Sweden;1. Department of Economics, University of Leuven, Naamsestraat 69, 3000 Leuven, Belgium;2. Department of Econometrics and Operations Research, Tilburg University, PO Box 90153, 5000 LE Tilburg, the Netherlands, CESIfo, Netspar;1. International Monetary Fund, Research Department, USA;2. Georgia Institute of Technology, School of Economics, USA
Abstract:This paper examines the long-term effects of exposure to civil war and genocide on the educational attainment, earnings, and fertility of individuals in Cambodia. Given the well-documented causal links between schooling and labor productivity, it is surprising that past studies show that civil conflicts reduce educational attainment, but generally not earnings of individuals. Using variation in the degree of Cambodians’ exposure to civil conflicts during primary school age, we find that disruption to primary education during civil conflicts decreases educational attainment and earnings, increases fertility, and has negligible effects on health of individuals several decades later. Our findings suggest that the effect of conflict on schooling disruption has adverse consequences on long-term labor productivity and economic development.
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