Impacts of fragmentation and neighbor influences on farmland conversion: A case study of the Edmonton-Calgary Corridor,Canada |
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Affiliation: | 1. Department of Resource Economics and Environmental Sociology, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alta. T6G 2H1, Canada;2. Digital Initiatives, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alta. T6G 2H1, Canada;1. Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Faculty of Environmental Sciences, Prague, Czech Republic;2. University of Economics, Prague, Department of Econometrics, Faculty of Informatics and Statistics, Prague, Czech Republic;1. Jiangsu Provincial Key Laboratory of Geographic Information Science and Technology, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210093, China;2. Collaborative Innovation Center for the South Sea Studies, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210093, China;3. Department of Geographic Information Science, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210093, China;4. Management Committee of Qujing Economic and Technological Development Area, Qujing 655000, China;1. Faculty of Geo-Information Science and Earth Observation (ITC), University of Twente, Enschede 7500AE, the Netherlands;2. Swinburne Business School, Swinburne University of Technology, Victoria, 3122, Australia;1. University of Tartu, School of Economics and Business Administration, Chair of Public Economics and Policy, Tartu, Estonia;2. Estonian University of Life Sciences, Institute of Forestry and Rural Engineering, Chair of Geomatics, Tartu, Estonia;3. Agricultural Research Centre, Department of Economic Analysis, Saku, Estonia;4. OÜ AlphaGIS, Service Department, Tallinn, Estonia;1. Technische Universität München(TUM), Germany;2. INES-Ruhengeri, Rwanda |
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Abstract: | Under heavy development pressure, farmland is rapidly being converted to non-agricultural uses such as houses, roads, and industrial uses. A great deal of research has investigated these farmland losses and their associated drivers. However, the existing empirical studies have neglected two important issues related to farmland conversion: spillover effects from neighboring areas and the impacts of farmland fragmentation. This study incorporates fragmentation and neighboring impacts into the farmland conversion analysis and provides new insights for the land-use/cover change literature. Empirical results indicate that increases in fragmentation further encourage farmland conversion to urban uses, but the effects are not linear with decreasing marginal influences. Land-use activities and decisions have strong spillover effects on neighboring areas. Ignoring this externality could result in biased estimates and marginal effects and thus misleading policy decisions and recommendations. |
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Keywords: | Farmland conversion Fragmentation Neighbor influences Spatial regression |
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