对城市交通规划中交通需求预测的研究

交通需求预测工作为交通建设项目的前期规划奠定了基础。通过对交通需求预测与城市交通规划关系的论述,分析交通需求预测的准确度与可信度,说明交通需求预测的重要性。指出当前交通需求预测工作存在的问题,提出提高交通需求预测的认知度、加强影响因素的分析和开展项目后评估等建议。

Study on Traffic Demand Forecast in Urban Traffic Planning

Traffic demand forecast lays a foundation for the previous planningof traffic construction projects. By introducing the relationship between trafficdemand forecast and urban traffic planning, this paper analyzes the accuracyand confidence degree of traffic demand forecast and demonstrates itsimportance. The paper then highlights the problems existed in current forecastwork and puts forward the advices such as improving the cognition on trafficdemand forecast, enhancing the analysis on effecting factors and implementingevaluation after the project, etc.