堆积层滑坡时间预报问题的讨论──以新滩滑坡为例

堆积层滑坡的准确预报有一定困难，现有的各和数学模型只适用于滑坡加速蠕变阶段的临滑预报。为此，笔者提出了堆积层滑坡的长期、中期和临滑预报工作的重点及相应对策。

Discussion on the Time Forecast Problem of Accumulation Landslide

In this paper, the authors hold that it is yet difficult to forecast accumulation landslideexactly. An models on hands are elective only in the case that tandslide is taking place unstablecreep. For this reason, the authors put foreward the focal points and relevant countermeasures inlong -term, medium-term and critical sliding forecast of accumulation bodslide