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On exports and economic growth: the case of Italy
Authors:Daniela Federici  Daniela Marconi
Institution:1. Department of Economics , University of Strathelyde , UK;2. Princeton University, University of Strathelyde , London, UK
Abstract:The export-led growth hypothesis for the Italian economy (1960-98) is tested through a VAR model with four macroeconomic variables: an index of the GDP of the rest of the world; the Italian real exchange rate; Italian real exports; and the Italian real GDP. Our results provide clear empirical support for the hypothesis. They also suggest that the Kaldorian approach is very useful in analysing short-run as well as long-run growth and fluctuations of an open economy such as Italy.
Keywords:Exports  Economic Growth  Cointegrated  Var Model  Innovation Accounting
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