| 粤港澳经济波动协同性与金融合作可行性研究 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 袁申国,刘兰凤.粤港澳经济波动协同性与金融合作可行性研究[J].国际经贸探索,2008,24(11):36-40. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 袁申国 刘兰凤 |
| |
| 作者单位： | [1]广东外语外贸大学国际经济贸易学院,广东广州510006 [2]南国商学院,广东广州510545 |
| |
| 摘 要： | 文章利用2000～2008年季度数据,使用共同趋势和共同周期的计量研究方法,检验粤港澳经济波动是否存在协同性,考察了三地区金融合作的可行性.通过分析,得出结论:粤港澳经济长期存在协整关系,具有共同随机发展趋势,短期存在共同特征向量,具有共同周期.所以,粤港澳经济波动在样本期内具有协同性,满足金融合作的非常重要的前提条件.
|
| 关 键 词： | 粤港澳 经济波动协同性 金融合作 |
Business Cycle Synchronization and Regional Financial Cooperation in Guangdong,Hong Kong and Macao |
| |
| YUAN Shen-Guo LIU Lan-Feng.Business Cycle Synchronization and Regional Financial Cooperation in Guangdong,Hong Kong and Macao[J].International Economics and Trade Research,2008,24(11):36-40. |
| |
| Authors: | YUAN Shen-Guo LIU Lan-Feng |
| |
| Institution: | YUAN Shen-Guo LIU Lan-Feng(Guangdong University of Foreign Studies,Guangzhou 510006,510420) |
| |
| Abstract: | The aim of this paper is to investigate business cycle synchronization among Guangdong,Hong Kong and Macao.Using the quarterly data of real GDP from 2000 to 2008,and using the econometric methods of common trend and common cycles,it shows that three areas have common and synchronous business cycles and qualify well as a candidate to establish financial cooperation in the future. |
| |
| Keywords: | Guangdong Hong Kong and Macao business cycle synchronization financial cooperation |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
|
