中国全要素生产率估计:1978-2006年

Solow残差法在计量全要素生产率时忽略了制度因素,为此本文在构建模型时增加制度虚拟变量。通过用修正后的模型估计中国1978年以采的全要素生产率,本文发现:1978年以来,中国的全要素生产率增长率和技术进步对经济增长的贡献都很显著;但1990年代中后期以来却在低位徘徊。文章认为,应该加强教育投入、切实推动生产要素在国内自由流动以及加快立法,以保证市场经济秩序的公平和公正。

The Total Factor Productivity of China:1978-2006

Solow residual looked out the regime factor when estimating total factor productivity,so the paper added a dummy variable to reflect the regime factor.When I used the corrected model to estimate the total factor productivity of China ever since 1978,I found that since then China's TFP has increased strikingly,but has been in low level since late 1990s.So I think we should strengthen our education,assure the free flow of factors and establish an equal market economy.