| 农业劳动日工价对农民收入水平影响的实证研究——基于协整和向量自回归模型 |
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| 引用本文： | 张千友. 农业劳动日工价对农民收入水平影响的实证研究——基于协整和向量自回归模型[J]. 上海立信会计学院学报, 2011, 25(2) |
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| 作者姓名： | 张千友 |
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| 作者单位： | 四川大学经济学院,四川成都,610064 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家社科基金重点项目(08AJY034);国家社科基金项目(09XJY032) |
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| 摘 要： | 选取1978年-2008年全国农业劳动日工价和农民人均纯收入的时间序列数据,通过基于VAR模型的协整分析、脉冲响应分析和方差分解的有机结合进行研究,发现两序列间存在长期均衡。对标准化协整方程和误差校正模型的分析表明,抽样区间的农民人均纯收入增长对农业劳动日工价形成了长期的、稳定的依赖,且后者是前者的格兰杰原因。脉冲响应分析和方差分解均显示,来自劳动日工价在过去三十年内对农民人均纯收入产生了持续性的贡献。实证结果表明,农业劳动日工价与农民人均纯收入具有长期稳定的关系,需要逐步提高偏低的农业劳动日工价。
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| 关 键 词： | 劳动日工价 农民人均纯收入 协整分析 脉冲响应 方差分解 农业经济 |
The Effect of Work Day Wages on the Income of Farmers: Study Based on Co-integration and VAR Model |
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| ZHANG Qian-you. The Effect of Work Day Wages on the Income of Farmers: Study Based on Co-integration and VAR Model[J]. Journal of Shanghai Lixin University of Commerce, 2011, 25(2) |
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| Authors: | ZHANG Qian-you |
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| Affiliation: | ZHANG Qian-you (School of Economics,Sichuan University,Chengdu Sichuan 610064,China) |
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| Abstract: | By a selection of the time series data of two indicators between 1978 and 2008,namely work day wages of farmers,and net income per capita of them,and an organic combination of cointegration analysis,impulse-response analysis,and variance decomposition based on VAR model,this paper finds the existence of a long-term equilibrium between these two series.Analysis of the standardized co-integration equation and the error correction model indicates that during the sampled lime span increase of farmers' net incom... |
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| Keywords: | the work day wages net income per capita of rural residents co-integration impulseresponse variance decomposition agricultural economy |
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