| Abstract: | Using a survival analysis technique, this paper investigates the impact of the export tax rebate (ETR) on duration of the firm, country/destination, and product (F–C–P)‐level export spells in China. Empirical analysis of a large dataset that covers the 2001 to 2013 period shows that the effect of ETR on duration of export spells of Chinese firms is large and statistically significant. A 1 percentage point increase in ETR rate increases the duration rate of F–C–P relationships by 23.2%. Furthermore, compared with the high‐tech firms, low‐tech and middle‐tech firms experience a larger increase in the duration of export spells in response to increase in China's ETR. Firm ownership‐based analysis shows that an increase in ETR leads to a larger increase in export spells of privately owned firms than the export spells of state‐ and foreign‐owned firms. These findings have important policy implications for the design and implementation of China's ETR policy. |
