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One-Sample Bayesian Predictive Interval of Future Ordered Observations for the Pareto Distribution
Authors:Jong-Wuu Wu  Shu-Fei Wu  Chin-Mei Yu
Affiliation:(1) Department of Applied Mathematics, National Chiayi University, Chiayi City, 60004, Taiwan, R.O.C.;(2) Department of Statistics, Tamkang University, Tamsui, Taipei, 25137, Taiwan, R.O.C.
Abstract:Nigm et al. (2003, statistics 37: 527–536) proposed Bayesian method to obtain predictive interval of future ordered observation Y (j) (r < jn ) based on the right type II censored samples Y (1) < Y (2) < ... < Y (r) from the Pareto distribution. If some of Y (1) < ... < Y (r-1) are missing or false due to artificial negligence of typist or recorder, then Nigm et al.’s method may not be an appropriate choice. Moreover, the conditional probability density function (p.d.f.) of the ordered observation Y (j) (r < jn ) given Y (1) <Y (2) < ... < Y (r) is equivalent to the conditional p.d.f. of Y (j) (r < jn ) given Y (r). Therefore, we propose another Bayesian method to obtain predictive interval of future ordered observations based on the only ordered observation Y (r), then compares the length of the predictive intervals when using the method of Nigm et al. (2003, statistics 37: 527–536) and our proposed method. Numerical examples are provided to illustrate these results.
Keywords:right type II censored sample  Bayesian predictive interval  pareto distribution  one-sample problem
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