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Unraveling the Financial Contagion in European Stock Markets During Financial Crises: Multi-Timescale Analysis
Authors:Ginanjar Dewandaru  Rumi Masih
Institution:1. INCEIF, The Global University of Islamic Finance, Lorong University A, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia;2. FML Reliance, New York, New York, USA
Abstract:The article investigates the evidence of financial contagion and market integration in selected European equity markets during nine major crises across regions. The focus is to identify whether (i) contagion evidence is pure or fundamental and (ii) dynamic evolution of integration is in the short run or long run. Wavelet decomposition in both its discrete and continuous forms is used. The findings reveal the following: (i) prior to the subprime crisis, contagion effects generated short-term shocks. The most recent US subprime crisis, however, reveals the evidence of fundamental based contagion. (ii) We find increasing short-run and long-run stock market integration, driven by several stages of the establishment of Economic and Monetary Union (EMU), questioning the ultimate benefits of formal entry into EMU membership.
Keywords:contagion  discrete and continuous wavelets  European stock markets  integration
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