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金融抑制、经济结构扭曲与劳动收入份额下降——基于新结构经济学理论的思考
引用本文:赵秋运,林志帆.金融抑制、经济结构扭曲与劳动收入份额下降——基于新结构经济学理论的思考[J].财经理论与实践,2016(4):2-10.
作者姓名:赵秋运  林志帆
作者单位:1. 北京大学 光华管理学院,北京,100871;2. 厦门大学 王亚南经济研究院,福建 厦门,361000
基金项目:国家自然科学基金(71473089),国家自然科学基金青年项目(71303054),中国博士后面上项目(2013M531090),国家社会科学基金青年项目(15CJL025)
摘    要:基于新结构经济学理论推行赶超战略的国家倾向于采用金融抑制政策以扶持工业部门、压制服务业部门,造成经济结构工业化的扭曲,而由于工业部门的劳动收入份额偏低,这种结构扭曲致使其劳动收入份额不断走低。使用理论模型与基于跨国面板数据进行实证检验并针对中国的研究发现,样本期中国的劳动收入份额显著低于模型预测值,且缺口趋于扩大;中国严重的金融抑制与经济结构扭曲状况可以解释劳动收入份额约1/3的下偏。

关 键 词:金融抑制  经济结构扭曲  劳动收入份额  新结构经济学

Financial Repression,Distortion of Economic Structure and the Declining Labor Share Based on New Structural Economics
ZHAO Qiuyun,LIN Zhifan.Financial Repression,Distortion of Economic Structure and the Declining Labor Share Based on New Structural Economics[J].The Theory and Practice of Finance and Economics,2016(4):2-10.
Authors:ZHAO Qiuyun  LIN Zhifan
Abstract:Based on the theory of New Structural Economics,financial repression policies stemming from Structuralism and "Catch-up" strategy suppresses the labor share through the channel of economic structure distortion.Based on the predictions of a theoretical model,we use cross-country panel data to show that financial repression supports the secondary sector and sup-presses the tertiary sector,and an industry-biased structural distortion further leads to the decline of the labor share.A case study of China further indicates that there is a 6.18% gap between ac-tual and predicted data of labor's share of income during 1 995 and 2005,and this gap tends to wid-en over time;counter-factual analysis proves that about 35.52% of its decline can be attributed to financial repression and distortion of economic structure.
Keywords:Financial repression  Economic structure  Labor's share of Income  New Struc-tural Economics
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