政府补贴与股价崩盘风险

本文以中国A股市场2007－2014年上市公司的数据为样本，基于企业寻租理论，实证检验了政府补贴对股价崩盘风险的影响，旨在为财政政策经济后果的研究提供新的经验证据。研究发现，政府补贴与上市公司股价崩盘风险之间呈显著正相关关系；在制度环境水平较低的地区，政府补贴与上市公司股价崩盘风险之间正相关关系更强；在产业政策支持的行业，政府补贴与上市公司股价崩盘风险之间正相关关系更强；进一步分析表明，企业寻租是两者正向关系的主要原因。本文的研究结果表明，管理层可以借助政府补贴粉饰公司业绩和隐藏公司负面消息。

Government Subsidy and Stock Price Crash Rsk

Using A-share listed firms in China in the period of 2007-2014 as samples , this paper investigates the rela-tionship between government subsidy and stock price crash risk from the perspective of rent -seeking, so as to provide new em-pirical evidence to clarify the economic consequences of fiscal subsidies.We find that government subsidy is positively associ-ated with stock price crash risk.Results show that the impact of government subsidy is more pronounced in firms located in re -gions with low institutional environment and industry supported by government industrial policy .Further analysis indicates that rent-seeking does affect this positive realtionship.According to the rent-seeking theory , the executives can make use of the government subsidy to “disguise” the accounting performance and hide the negative news about the firm.