中国环境规制如何影响了就业--基于中介效应模型的实证研究

本文从产业结构、技术进步和FDI的角度，系统考察了环境规制对我国就业增长的影响路径，并构建中介效应模型，以1999－2014年省份面板数据为样本进行了计量检验。研究发现，环境规制对就业不仅存在直接正向作用，还会通过三个中介变量间接影响就业。环境规制通过倒逼产业结构调整间接促进就业，同时，环境规制通过刺激技术进步和抑制FDI间接削弱就业，但环境规制对就业的总效应为正。本研究对实现环境保护和就业双重红利这一目标有重要启示意义。

How Does Environmental Regulation Affect Employment---An Empirical Research Based on Mediating Effect Model

From the perspectives of the industrial structure , technological progress and FDI , this paper investigates the impact of environmental regulation on China ’s employment.We establish a mediating effect model and test it empirically by u-sing the panel data of different provinces between 1999 and 2014 in China.The results show that environmental regulation will not only have a direct impact on employment , but also indirectly influence the employment through the three intermediary vari -ables.Environmental regulation can promote employment indirectly by forcing the industrial structure to transform and up -grade.Meanwhile , environmental regulation also reduces employment indirectly by stimulating technological progress and re -stricting FDI.But the total effect is positive .This study has important significance for achieving the double-dividend goal of environmental protection and employment .