A New Keynesian model for analysing monetary policy in Mainland China |
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Authors: | Li-gang Liu Wenlang Zhang |
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Institution: | Research Department, Hong Kong Monetary Authority, 55th Floor, II International Finance Centre, 8 Finance Street, Central, Hong Kong |
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Abstract: | This paper adopts a four-equation New Keynesian model to evaluate the appropriateness of China's monetary policy framework. Our simulation results show that a hybrid rule that uses both interest rate and quantity of money as instruments outperforms the rules using one instrument alone at the current stage of economic and financial market development. Our analysis also shows that a sharp appreciation of the renminbi exchange rate, though effective in containing inflation pressures, would be quite disruptive to growth. |
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