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新旧养老保险政策的替代率测算及其敏感性
引用本文:邓大松,李琳. 新旧养老保险政策的替代率测算及其敏感性[J]. 经济与管理, 2008, 22(7): 72-78
作者姓名:邓大松  李琳
作者单位:武汉大学,社会保障研究中心,湖北,武汉,430072
摘    要:根据国发26号文及38号文件,依据中国城镇职工基本养老保险替代率模型进行测算,对影响其变动的制度内因素进行敏感性分析得出:国发38号文件的个人账户激励效果十分显著,分配效应减弱,有利于现行退休制度的改革。

关 键 词:养老保险  替代率  敏感性分析

On the Sensitive Analysis and Substitution Rate Measurement Old Age Insurance before and after the Reform in China
Deng Dasong,Li Lin. On the Sensitive Analysis and Substitution Rate Measurement Old Age Insurance before and after the Reform in China[J]. Economy and Management, 2008, 22(7): 72-78
Authors:Deng Dasong  Li Lin
Affiliation:(Center for Social Security, Wuhan University , Wuhan 430072, China)
Abstract:According to the 26th document and 38th document,calculating by using the substitution rate model of urban residents' basic old age insurance in China and doing the sensitivity analysis on the systematic factors affecting the change,we can draw the conclusions that the inspiration function of personal account in the 38th document is remarkable,the distribution effect is weak and it is helpful to the reform of current retirement system.
Keywords:old age insurance  substitution rate  sensitivity analysis
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