Financial Restraints in a Mature Welfare State--The Case of Denmark

The Scandinavian welfare states are mature in the sense of havinga high level of standards for public provisions of welfare servicesas well as a high replacement level for income transfers, especiallyfor low-income groups. In this welfare model, individuals havebasic rights to welfare services and social transfers independentlyof their ability to pay, their labour-market history, etc. Thefinancial viability of the model relies on a high tax burdenand a high level of labour-force participation for males andfemales. Evaluated on the basis of international comparisonsof income levels and inequality, the model has performed well.In a forward-looking perspective, however, the welfare modelfaces problems that may put the financial viability of the modelat risk. Two important challenges are demographic changes andthe so-called growth dilemma (increased demand for servicesand leisure). We discuss these issues using Denmark as an exampleand argue that while these two challenges may be of the sameorder of magnitude, it is easier to propose solutions to thedemographic challenges than to the growth dilemma which areconsistent with the basic principles of the welfare state. Footnotes ¹ E-mail addresses: tandersen{at}econ.au.dk; lhp{at}dreammodel.dk