| 债务风险、量化宽松与中国通胀前景 |
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| 引用本文： | 黄益平. 债务风险、量化宽松与中国通胀前景[J]. 国际经济评论, 2011, 0(1) |
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| 作者姓名： | 黄益平 |
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| 作者单位： | 北京大学国家发展研究院; |
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| 摘 要： | 在全球金融危机期间,美、英、日等主要发达国家的财政状况迅速恶化、公共债务急剧增加。而美联储和其他主要央行实施量化宽松的货币政策,更可能直接增加流向中国的热钱。另外还有三大因素将直接抬高中国的通胀压力:第一是粮食及大宗商品价格直线上升;第二是工资水平急剧上涨;第三是极度宽松的货币政策环境。所有这些表明通货膨胀可能是2011年中国最大的宏观经济风险,央行需要采取包括加息、升值等的全面性的货币政策紧缩来控制通胀风险。
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| 关 键 词： | 债务危机 量化宽松 通货膨胀 货币政策 中国 |
Debt Risks,Quantitative Easing and China's Inflation |
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| Huang Yiping. Debt Risks,Quantitative Easing and China's Inflation[J]. International Economic Review, 2011, 0(1) |
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| Authors: | Huang Yiping |
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| Affiliation: | Huang Yiping |
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| Abstract: | During the global financial crisis,fiscal conditions deteriorated while debt burdens jumped in most advanced economies.Quantitative easing by major central banks may lead to increased hot money flows to emerging market economies,including China.Three other factors will also add to inflationary pressure in China: Increasing prices of grain and other commodities,rapid growth of wages and extremely loose monetary policy conditions.They will combine to make inflation China's biggest macroeconomic risk in 2011.T... |
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