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Job Creation and Destruction in South Africa
Authors:Andrew Kerr  Martin Wittenberg  Jairo Arrow
Affiliation:1. DataFirst, 3rd floor, School of Economics Building, Middle Campus, University of Cape Town, , Cape Town, South Africa;2. DataFirst and School of Economics, University of Cape Town, , Cape Town, South Africa;3. Independent Statistical Consultant, , Pretoria, South Africa
Abstract:Analysts of the South African labour market have mainly used household surveys to analyse the labour market. It has been more difficult to explore the labour demand of firms, as a result of limited data availability. We use the Quarterly Employment Statistics survey, an enterprise survey conducted by Statistics South Africa, to explore how South African firms create and destroy jobs, thereby shedding light on many of the policy questions that are relevant in a high unemployment society like South Africa. We find that job creation and destruction rates are similar to those found in Organisation for Economic Co‐operation and Development countries. There is little evidence that labour legislation creates rigidities that prevent firms from hiring or firing workers. We also find that larger firms are better net creators of jobs than small firms and that net job creation rates are negative in manufacturing. Our research has important policy implications – particularly for the South African National Planning Commission's 2030 plan, in which new jobs are envisaged to come mainly from small‐ and medium‐sized firms. Our research suggests that this scenario is not likely without changes to policy or legislation.
Keywords:J23  L51  Job creation  job destruction  job reallocation  firm dynamics  regulation  South Africa
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