互联网发展对双边旅游贸易的影响评估

基于33个客源国(地区)和86个目的国(地区)之间的双边旅游贸易量数据,引入双边网址数量作为互联网的代理变量,实证分析互联网发展对双边旅游贸易的影响。结果表明,互联网发展对双边旅游贸易量具有显著的正向影响,即互联网开放度更高的国家和地区易于发生入境旅游,互联网发展程度高的国家和地区易于发生出境旅游;互联网发展对服务贸易的影响存在行业异质性,双边旅游贸易比其他服务贸易和国际商品贸易更加依赖互联网信息;互联网发展对双边旅游贸易促进作用具有一定的经济粘性,主要表现在发达国家和地区双边旅游贸易从互联网发展中的受益要大于发展中国家和地区。

Evaluationofthe Impactof Internet Developmenton Bilateral Tourism Trade

Based on the data of bilateral tourism trade volume between 33 source countries(regions)and 86 destination countries(regions),this paper introduces the number of bilateral websites as the proxy variable of the internet to empirically analyze the impact of internet development on bilateral tourism trade.The results show that the development of internet has a significant positive impact on bilateral tourism trade volume,that is,countries and regions with higher openness to the internet are prone to inbound tourism,countries and regions with higher degree of internet development are prone to outbound tourism;the impact of internet development on trade in services has industry heterogeneity,and bilateral tourism trade is more prone to inbound tourism than other services trade and international trade.Commodity trade is more dependent on internet information.Internet development has certain economic stickiness to promote bilateral tourism trade,which is mainly manifested in the fact that bilateral tourism trade in developed countries and regions benefits more from internet development than that in developing countries and regions.