| 我国居民消费波动的影响因素研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 邹玲,骆昀晖. 我国居民消费波动的影响因素研究[J]. 经济理论与经济管理, 2009, 0(5): 24-30 |
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| 作者姓名： | 邹玲 骆昀晖 |
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| 作者单位： | 江西财经大学金融学院, 南昌330013 |
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| 摘 要： | 基于VAR模型的脉冲响应函数和方差分解技术对我国居民人均消费的影响因素进行实证分析,发现我国居民人均收入增长对人均消费增长贡献最大,固定资产投资增长和人均储蓄存款增长对我国居民人均消费增长率也有比较大的贡献。格兰杰因果检验证实了这一结论。我国固定资产投资增长与居民人均收入增长存在双向的格兰杰因果关系;同时人均消费增长也对我国居民人均收入增长有着微弱的影响。
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| 关 键 词： | 居民人均消费增长率 VAR模型 脉冲响应函数 |
| 收稿时间： | 2009-03-09 |
A STUDY ON THE INFLUENCING FACTORS OF HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION FLUCTUATION IN CHINA |
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| ZOU Ling,LUO Yun-hui. A STUDY ON THE INFLUENCING FACTORS OF HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION FLUCTUATION IN CHINA[J]. Economic Theory and Business Management, 2009, 0(5): 24-30 |
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| Authors: | ZOU Ling LUO Yun-hui |
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| Affiliation: | Research Center of Financial Development and Financial Risk Prevention and Finance Department in Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics, Nanchang 330013, China |
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| Abstract: | Based on impulse-response function of the vector auto-regressive model and variance decomposition technique applied to empirically analyze the factors that affect the per capita consumption of China,it is found that the contribution-rate of China's per capita income growth to the fluctuation of the growth of China's per capita consumption is the largest.The growth of fixed-asset investment and per capita savings of China's residents also have relatively large contributions.Granger causality tests confirm th... |
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| Keywords: | the growth rate of per capita consumption of China VAR model impulse-response function |
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