| 经济增长对风电产业成长的调节效应分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 陈春华,路正南.经济增长对风电产业成长的调节效应分析[J].经济问题,2012(1):87-90. |
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| 作者姓名： | 陈春华 路正南 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 南京航空航天大学经济与管理学院,南京,210016
2. 江苏大学工商管理学院,江苏镇江,210213 |
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| 基金项目： | 教育部人文社科基金项目，江苏高校哲学社会科学重点研究基地重大项目，江苏省博士后基金项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 利用层级回归模型分析了经济增长对风电产业成长的直接效应和调节效应。实证分析表明：（1）经济增长显著调节碳排放强度对风电产业成长的影响，降低碳排放强度有助于削弱风电产业成长幅度；（2）经济增长显著调节风电投资成本对风电产业成长的影响，风电投资成本下降导致风电产业爆发式成长；（3）风电投资成本与碳排放强度共同提升了经济增长对风电产业成长的影响。因此，降低碳排放强度、控制风电投资成本下降幅度是保持风电产业稳定发展的有效途径。
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| 关 键 词： | 层级回归 调节效应 风电产业 经济增长 |
Analysis of Adjustment Effect of Economic Growth on the Growth of Wind Power |
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| CHEN Chun-hua,LU Zheng-nan.Analysis of Adjustment Effect of Economic Growth on the Growth of Wind Power[J].On Economic Problems,2012(1):87-90. |
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| Authors: | CHEN Chun-hua LU Zheng-nan |
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| Institution: | 1.College of Economics & Management,Nanjing University of Aeronautics & Astronautics, Nanjing 210016,China;2.School of Management,Jiangsu University,Zhenjiang 212013,China) |
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| Abstract: | The direct effects and adjustment effects of economic growth on the growth of wind power are analyzed by using hierarchical regression model.The empirical analyses indicate firstly that economic growth significantly adjusts the impact of carbon emission intensity on the growth of wind power.At present,reducing carbon emission intensity can weaken the growth amplitude of wind power.Secondly,economic growth significantly adjust the impact of the cost of wind power investment on the growth of wind power.Decline in the cost of wind power investment results in the rapid development of wind power.Thirdly,wind power investment cost and carbon emission intensity jointly promote the impact of economic growth on the growth of wind power.Therefore,the effective ways to let wind power industry keep steady development are to reduce carbon emission intensity and to control the decline of wind power investment cost. |
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| Keywords: | hierarchical regression adjustment effect wind power economic growth |
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