| 我国通货膨胀与货币供给和经济增长的关系研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 干霖. 我国通货膨胀与货币供给和经济增长的关系研究[J]. 经济问题, 2012, 0(4): 32-35 |
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| 作者姓名： | 干霖 |
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| 作者单位： | 江西财经大学财税与公共管理学院,南昌,330013 |
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| 摘 要： | 基于协整检验和VAR模型选取1984～2010年的年度数据研究了通货膨胀与货币供给和经济增长之间的关系,研究表明:货币供给和经济增长都会导致通货膨胀,但通货膨胀不会引发货币超发,且一定的通货膨胀对经济增长具有正向刺激作用;货币供应量扩张对通货膨胀有促进作用,但影响程度逐步减弱,经济增长也会促使物价水平的上涨,但影响程度明显小于货币供给水平的影响;经济增长对物价水平的影响小于货币供应量对物价水平的影响,即货币供应量诱发通货膨胀,抑制通货膨胀的最好途径是解决货币供给问题;经济系统中存在"通货膨胀螺旋"效应。
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| 关 键 词： | 通货膨胀 货币供给 经济增长 协整检验 VAR模型 |
Research on the Relationship between Inflation,Money Supply and Economic Growth in China |
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| GAN Lin. Research on the Relationship between Inflation,Money Supply and Economic Growth in China[J]. On Economic Problems, 2012, 0(4): 32-35 |
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| Authors: | GAN Lin |
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| Affiliation: | GAN Lin(School of Tax and Public Administration,Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics,Nanchang 330013,China) |
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| Abstract: | This paper studied the relationship between money supply,inflation and economic growth using annual data from 1984 to 2010 based on the cointegration test and VAR model.The result are as follows: money supply and economic growth will lead to inflation,while inflation will not lead to the increase of the supply of money,but moderate inflation has certain stimulation to economic growth;the expansion of money supply promotes inflation,but the influence degree diminishes gradually;economic growth will also rise the price level,but the impact is smaller;money supply has much more influence on price level than economic growth,that is,the cause of inflation mainly comes from money supply,so the best way to curb inflation is to solve the money supply problem;there is "inflation spiral" effect on economic systems. |
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| Keywords: | inflation money supply economic growth co-integration VAR model |
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