Dynamic complexity in a Keynesian growth-cycle model involving Harrod's instability |
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Authors: | Mario C Sportelli |
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Institution: | (1) Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche, Università degli Studi di Bari, Via C. Rosalba, 53, I-70124 Bari, Italy;(2) Department of Economics, University of Glasgow, A. Smith Building, G12 8RT Glasgow, UK |
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Abstract: | This paper develops a Keynesian macrodynamic model, where some recent reinterpretations of Harrod's dynamics are embodied. Its main purpose is to prove that Harrod's instability principle may give rise to a chaotic motion (specifically a il'nikov scenario) around two equilibrium points: a steady-state unstable equilibrium, whose value depends on parameters defining the technical-progress dynamics, and a stationary state of zero growth. Furthermore, since it allows for a variable growth rate of labor productivity and assigns a key role to expectations, this model comes closer to modern theories of economic growth and endogenous business cycle. |
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Keywords: | economic dynamics chaotic fluctuations business cycle Harrod's dynamics |
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