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The optimal choice of central bank independence and conservatism under uncertainty
Authors:Carsten Hefeker  Blandine Zimmer
Institution:aUniversity of Siegen, Hoelderlinstrasse 3, 57068 Siegen, Germany;bHWWI, Heimhuder Strasse 71, 20148 Hamburg, Germany;cCESifo, Poschingerstrasse 5, 81679 Munich, Germany;dLARGE, University of Strasbourg, 47 Avenue de la ForOt Noire, 67085 Strasbourg Cedex, France
Abstract:This paper examines the optimal monetary delegation arrangement of central bank independence and conservatism in the presence of uncertainty about the central bank’s output objective. We show that full independence is no longer optimal with uncertain central bank preferences, and that optimal delegation involves the choice of both independence and conservatism. Further, we find that the usual trade-off between independence and conservatism no longer necessarily holds. Consequently, high central bank independence may also require a high level of conservatism.
Keywords:JEL classification: E 52  E 58
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