安徽省耕地保护前景分析

随着社会经济的发展，安徽省耕地供需矛盾日益突出，科学地分析安徽省耕地保护前景，探寻合理的耕地保护对策．具有重要的现实意义。本文立足于安徽省耕地资源现状，从粮食生产、非农建设占地两方面探讨安徽经济发展对耕地的需求前景，并采用灰色系统模型对耕地的供给变化进行预测，通过耕地供需形势的分析，针对性地提出保护耕地的相应对策。

Prospect Analysis of Land Protection in Anhui Province

With the development of the economy,the contradiction between the supply and demand of Anhui cultivated land becomes more and more serious.And it is important to analyse its protection prospect, and some measures should be taken to end off this situation. Based on the analysis of the current situation of Anhui cultivated land, we forecast its demand prospect by discussing the grain-production and non-agricultural constructive land which matching the economic development, and predict its supply transformation by adopting the Grey model in this paper. Through the analysis of the supply and demand situations, we also put forward some corresponding countermeasures to protect the cultivated land.