The global rise of corporate saving |
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| Institution: | 1. University of Chicago, Booth School of Business, 5807 S Woodlawn Ave, Chicago, IL, United States;2. University of Minnesota, Department of Economics, Hanson Hall 4-101, 1925 4th Street South, Minneapolis, MN, United States;3. National Bureau of Economic Research, 1050 Massachusetts Avenue, Cambridge, MA, United States;4. Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, 90 Hennepin Avenue, Minneapolis, MN, United States;1. Massachusetts Institute of Technology and Carnegie-Mellon University, 50 Memorial Drive, Cambridge, MA 02142, USA;2. University of Pennsylvania and NBER, 3718 Locust Walk, 428 McNeil Building, Philadelphia, PA 19104, USA |
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| Abstract: | The sectoral composition of global saving changed dramatically during the last three decades. Whereas in the early 1980s most of global investment was funded by household saving, nowadays nearly two-thirds of global investment is funded by corporate saving. This shift in the sectoral composition of saving was not accompanied by changes in the sectoral composition of investment, implying an improvement in the corporate net lending position. We characterize the behavior of corporate saving using both national income accounts and firm-level data and clarify its relationship with the global decline in labor share, the accumulation of corporate cash stocks, and the greater propensity for equity buybacks. We develop a general equilibrium model with product and capital market imperfections to explore quantitatively the determination of the flow of funds across sectors. Changes including declines in the real interest rate, the price of investment, and corporate income taxes generate increases in corporate profits and shifts in the supply of sectoral saving that are of similar magnitude to those observed in the data. |
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